Forecasts for the risk of a successful coup (“Successful Coup”), failed coup attempt (“Failed Attempt”) and any coup attempt, regardless of outcome (“Any Coup Attempt”), in 2020.

The risk values shown are percentages that can theoretically range from 0% to 100%. These are created from the underlying raw probabilities, which can range from 0 to 1, and then rounded to 1 decimal point.

You can download the forecasts here (CSV).